Grand Jury (GJ) hearing of M.Brown killing by a Police Officer (PO) and C.Martin Killing by Zimarman (Z) trial earlier.

I must confess that I have never been to US and hardly have any personal contact with Gora and Kaala people. But in the MB case, there was a grand jury proceedings and conflicting accounts of the incidence were heard by GJ in the proceedings. So they decided not to prosecute the Police Officer. There are 12 people in the GJ and 3 of them are black. My understanding was GJ is only a preliminary proceeds and decide if a crime was committed and there is some reasonable evidence to prosecute. Just like a Charge Sheet I think. Since my knowledge of Khan legal system comes from Perry Mason novels of last century I may be wrong.

In the case of MB a death has occurred and there seems to be some evidence of attack on the police officer. Now is the Police Officer needed to shoot at MB to defend himself or not is the question. From what I read there are conflicting accounts of the alleged charging of MB. If there is some evidence to suggest that MB indeed charged towards PO then it would be difficult case to prosecute. Particularly in US where there is a Jury System.  That coupled with any previous criminal record MB may have and the alleged theft taken place around that time by a Black Man in a white tea shirt etc will make it further difficult case to convict.

In the case of C.Martin there is evidence of physical injuries on the body of Z, the neighborhood watch person. There is no record of Z being a racist. At least not I have read. I may be wrong here. At least the killer is not a cop so it can not be some cop prejudice case. Yet we are discussing it as such. Further Z was called a person who followed a boy to his home and killed him. All the body injuries of Z were forgotten. CM as per my reading was giving mixed marshal art blows to Z and Z was on the ground and MC was above him. Is this the case to try for First Degree Murder? I do not think so. Manslaughter case would have been proper one at best and would have even succeeded. But over active Prosecutor egged on by Liberals and OB gang from DC tried the case for Murder and lost the case.

The past conduct of the victims in such cases will be taken into consideration in any such case to hypothesize on what really happened.  Further apparently almost every one accepted  that MB attacked the PO who was sitting in the police car may have to be  taken as indicative of the things happened after that.

From what I read Blacks in US seems to be fully dehumanized. Almost all their families are single parent families with fathers being absent in many cases. Many are very poor. Further there is no out reach from anyone to do something about the black social structure and economic condition. The culture of violence also seems to be a very big problem and Liberals are not doing anything about it. How a single parent family with very poor background and living in a already violent areas can manage to raise the kids properly is beyond me. While there is great need for a sustained effort to bring the black community out of this cycle of poverty, social weakness and violence the liberal narrative of slavery etc does not help. We are also children of slaves. Many parts of the world are like that. A strong and sustained effort is needed to bring the entire community out of the present abyss. I see no indication of any such thing being made. Somehow I feel that the Libarals in US are on a slavery gravy train and do not really case to help black community.

As the caveat I have mentioned above I am only a writing from what I read. I may be terribly wrong here. 

Siva Sena (SS) has created a story that BJP has betrayed  them. The core voter and Manus people seems to have believed that. Votes in Mumbai City region go based on the feudal type relationships maintained by SS and others. Same in the Maratwada areas for NCP. Sugar Lobby, Co Operative Banks etc networks work better in any Assembly elections. But this time at least Mafia lost the elections in their mind already. All the people wanted is to stop BJP from winning. That is why all out attack on BJP this time from every other party.

BJP by their own high standard not did great work to "manage" elections in MH. “Putting cheppal on the ground” (my words and I am claims rights on them) is a must at every polling booth if you want to win the elections. Particularly in Assembly elections. From what I have seen BJP has not managed to do that. BJP is both the states have contested seriously for the first time. So they can be excused for not so good attempt. But politics are hard things and no excuse is acceptable and results I hope will not be bad for it

As for as results goes "Management" of Election Day makes the difference in a close vote situation, up to a maximum of about 5% votes can be “managed”. Diggi Raja did it in MP for his second win. The extent Diggi went was unimaginable. I have seen SS arranging for Taxis for people to vote and NCP distributing cash openly in front of Polling Booths in Mumbai. But for BJP hardly any one is there to be seen. This is not good sign. On the other hand SS thinks with their Ba@@s and what every they arrange will not work if they do not think properly and plan the things. BJP is very good at that and SS, NCP and Congress Mafia are not.

In spite of the active “management” of others if BJP gets into Wining or No.1 position in both states then it is a seriously big achievement for them. In either case BJP will learn its lessons from these two elections and will change its strategy for future state elections. Already there is a talk from my UP friends that Behanji will win in UP this time.  That kind of possibility needs to be stopped at any cost. Otherwise UP can not be saved soon. 

Stopping peoples migration form villages to towns:

A comprehensive plan is needed for stopping this migration which is due to econocial, social and aspirational reasons.  

1.      Connectivity: Good road network to connect each village to nearby semi urban centre for travel and to send goods is needed for creating and sustaining economic activity in villages. Public transportation like RTC Buses to each village is a must.

2.      Encouraging Cultivation:  Almost all the villages have surplus land belonging to Panchayath. Further many villages have lands left uncultivated by the owners for various reasons. One of the main reasons is the fear of giving it for rent cultivation or for share cropping purpose. Legislative changes providing some scope for short term renting of agricultural lands will be helpful for everyone as it frees vast amount of agricultural land, increase agricultural production and will create jobs in Villages.  

3.      Vegetable Cultivation: Vegetable cultivation needs maximum amount of labour. Huge demand for vegetables is already there and it will only increase as the economy progresses. Hence create a scheme under which both panchayath lands and the private lands which are not being cultivated can be brought under cultivation with either Panchayath or some self-help society as the tenant for a limited period. This will create huge job opportunities.

4.      Fertilizer making:  Manure, gobur, agri-watage and items can be made in to organic fertilizers. It will be an import substitute and has scope for creating large amount of employment. 

5.      Manufacture of items: Each village has to be made self sufficient on all manufacturing items which are low tech in making. Things like agricultural tools, house hold articles, process foods like pickles, food processing activities etc all can be done with low tech base at the villages.

6.      Capital investment and Asset Creation: Ground water recharge structure, Drinking water facilities, micro village level irrigation works, drainage etc works, Housing facilities for poor can be made.  No further or extra money needed to be spent here. MANDREGA amounts can be spent properly and other schemes are implemented properly.

7.      Education and Medical facilities: Lack of medical and education facilities is also one of the reasons for migration apart from livelihood. Provide them within 10 to 15 KM of each village.

Problems of Telugu States - Fee reimbursement scheme - Tragic fate of Telugu youth.

The current problems of Telugu people are basically created as a part of a larger game plan of goras. MQ actions in dividing AP defies normal logic but has a perfect reason. The aim is to give ruling power entire South to Church and create a huge base for anti Indic like naxals, MIM/EJ forces in AP. As of now in AP Jagan is the leader of opposition and was expected to win till NM and CBN joined together and defeated him. EJ population is less but increasing rapidly in AP with Reddy community fast becoming Crepto Christians - Just like YSR. KKR the last CM of undivided AP was also a Christian. As of now there is a strong foundation in AP for EJ activities to continue. In T, MIM is already part of power structure under TRS. The old structure of Razakars and Doras acting jointly is almost come back. Naxals are yet to comeback in a bigway, but since most of their supporters are already in power structure in T the armed sections of Naxals will be soon active in T. Unfortunately there is a large section in T with have serious simpathetic view about naxals and police in T will not be taking any actions of naxal action in T. We can expect huge collection base in Hyderabad from Naxals also.

As of now destruction of Indic civilization in Telugu lands is truly underway. I do not consider anyone who demolish Sri Krishnadavaraya's statue as an Indic and BJP, INC, TRS and naxals fellows in AP area all not Indics. TDP is totally principle less gang and only reason to support them to lack of options and they are the only force now standing between Jagan and power.

The serious Robinhood politics of YSR/MQ are eating into the vitals of the economy of Telugu lands and all the parties are now forced to follow it. CBN and TRS promised huge handouts to people and going to end up creating a begger state similar to Greece in EU. There is absolutely no monitory discipline in Telugu states since 2004 and the same trend is going to continue.

In respect of “local” and “non local” the provisions of 371D and other normal practices can be adopted. But it seems TRS is going to created a modern version of “racial purity” by which Telengana “natives” are identified. All kinds of principles are being said. Such unscientific classifications are very difficult to defend in the court of law. But who is going to tell that to KCR and his party people?  

Coming to fee reimbursement scheme for Engineering/Medial students entire scheme is required to be scrapped. In 2004 there were not this many engineering colleges or Medical colleges in AP. YSR permitted hundreds of these “colleges” which does not have any basic infrastructure or teaching staff and pocketed the bribes. To ensure that these “colleges” get students the qualification marks in the entrance tests were reduced to 25%. With this huge number students who otherwise unfit to study the technical course in BE/BTech/MBBS/BDS joined in these courses in the “colleges”. They are mostly unemployable as of now. The yearly subsidy for these students is almost Rs. 50,000/- per student per year and the entire money is going into the pockets of “college” Managements.

Now the question is how to come out of this mess. First step is to increase the qualification marks for technical education to at least 65%. This will make the student intake in the courses having reasonable ability learn.  Second step to be stop fee reimbursement scheme on a time bound manner and spend the same amount of money is creating government colleges and universities. Admission in these institutions can be free for all the students. With almost Rs. 5,000 Cr. budget each year even if half of it is capital expenditure a huge number very high quality educational institutions as capital assets could have been created between 2004 to 2014 and free higher education could have been provided. Instead of that the entire money wasted on payments to useless colleges to create mostly unemployable graduates.

Even in the post division AP, with half the budget of Rs. 2,500 Cr, each year some 100 colleges/polytechnic institutions can be created with a capital expenditure of 25 Cr each. In 5 years these public colleges will be in a position to provide free and high quality education to all the qualified and deserving students. The public institutes thus created will be there for generations to come.  Yet no one is AP or T is going to this on these lines. With Narayana as a minister in his cabinet CBN will have no inclination to open government schools and colleges which will close Narayana education business?  It is this education business which failed to generate revenues by selling education which now drives the subsidy fee reimbursement scheme. In T state also huge opportunity to earn bribes will continue this subsidy.

The direct victims of this tragedy will be the students from backward communities, SCs and STs who will get some worthless degree and can never find a suitable job as they are not having any employable skills.

But who will understand this and who cares?

  

Return to arrogance and untrusting behaviour – Chandra Babu Naidu

Mr. Naidu did the right thing this time to join NDA for General Election 2014 or did he really? Naidu was forced to do get some support few weeks back as Jagan criminal gangs are threatening to sweep the seats in Costal Andra and Rayalaseema areas. With fear of losing looming large Naidu thought he will join with BJP.

This plan of joining with BJP this time around is an old one and his meeting with Naradra Modi before the division of Andra Pradesh State said to be the reason for forced division of the state by Sonia gang. But after division he sent mixed signals to BJP and in turn BJP have serious hints that it may negotiate with Jagan. This created panic in Naidu camp and a deal with huge confusion (created mainly by games played by Naidu) was finally done. Even after the deal Naidu insisting that BJP should put up “strong candidates” in the seats allotted to them. How Naidu can make such demands is not known. Now we see TDP also contesting the same seats allotted to BJP which is clearly a bitrail. This is not on. How you can allot seats to your alliance partner and then put up your party candidates in the same seats?

Another basic problem is Naidu is unwilling to accept that Modi is superior to him. For all his “High Tech CEO” image Naidu is nothing in comparison with Modi whose record in governance is much better.  Naidu could not stop Congress from coming back strongly to kick him out of power. His desperation to come back to power by joining with TRS ensured he lose the elections in 2009 also and Congress taking advantage of his two eyes theory divided AP. With such embarrassing record he still has guts to claim that he is the original CEO CM and Modi copied him.  His delusions, fears, manipulation ideas still playing active party. His failure to take everyone along with him – No seat to Hari Krishna, No scope for Jr NTR, No extension of friendly hand to Purandhareswari. In short nothing changed in Naidu. By marrying Balakrishna daughter with Lokesh he has ensured Balakrishna is with him. He thinks he do not need Hari Krishna and Jr NTR is a competition to his son Lokesh.  

Now it seems that he wants Modi should hold join meeting with him. BJP do not see any reason for it. Naidu is not a long standing ally like Akalies or Siva Sena. Further everyone in BJP knows the conduct of Naidu. They will not be so accommodating of Naidu this time around. The help given to Naidu during Atalji government during NDA rule is quickly forgotten by him but BJP clearly not forgotten the statement of Naidy that joining/supporting NDA was his biggest mistake. He also threatenged to withdraw support to BJP on 2002 riots and demanded that Modi be removed from the CM position. BJP simply ignored that demand. Now the world has come full circle.

With all this background, it seems that Naidu now confident that he will win in AP and does not need BJP support now. He already put up candidates in at least 3 MLA seats which were allotted to BJP and his “leaders” are making comments openly that BJP candidates are “weak” etc. Such insulting conduct by Telugu Desam people will not be taken lightly by BJP which is now confident under Modi leadership.

Yet Naidu pressing ahead with his games. We should now ask ourselves – Can he be trusted now?   

Elections of 2014 - Prospects of BJP.

At the outset, I must confess that I am BJP supporter having been in RSS from Childhood and worked for BJP during elections before becoming a public servant. So you may take my views as bias towards BJP. However, having worked in elections (which we used to lose regularly as BJP is very weak in AP), I think my estimates may be nearer to results.

First of all, most of the independent observers and record opponents agree that there is a Modi wave. I have first-hand information in the use of information technology by Modi supporters and his team, and it is perhaps the most detailed and systematic use of data anywhere in the world. May be Obama team did that. However, that team has to deal with a nation not even one present of Indian complexities. Sheet size of the voting population, different communities, regions, local variations etc. make the data creation, management and use a tough one and Modi team done admirably well. It also helps by the fact that BJP is a cadre-based party with workers of the party speeding out entire nation including in places like Kerala and northeast wherein political BJP is feeble. These workers in many cases are from Sangh Parivar and are trained in disciple and ideologically committed. The processed data was and is being put to good use in all the places by these workers. What Modi has done is to create the strong wind. If in a seat wherein party can raise the sail then the boat will move otherwise no. For this BJP intelligently allied with all kinds of smaller parties currently being ignored by other national groupings.

Even one MP seat capable parties were roped in. We can see the example at Maharastra. Past bad behaviour by people like Chandra Babu Naidu and Telugu Desam Party (whose workers even now say that Modi copied their leader and their leader is equal to Modi )  was forgiven to forge allegiance. Hard bargaining seems to be the norm in such cases and give and take to be the norm in case of parties like RPI (Atwale) and LJP which now appears to be moving under the son of Ram Vilas Paswan who has now spent much time without power and has little chance of a comeback.

Another aspect of the efforts is the unwavering and unrelenting effort by Modi himself who is continuously campaigning for almost a year now. This kind of energy could not a matched by anyone from Congress.  Projection on clear and strong leadership by Modi in a national election wherein Manmohan and Rahul type “leaders” presents a clear and better option for voters.

Media and perception Management was the weakest point of the BJP since inception. The English national media are anti-Hindu in its ideology and leftish in the economic outlook. Most of the “prominent” opinion makers persons be it TV, News Papers, Writers, Novelists, Film and Tv Movie personalities are all anti-Hindu in their worldly view. BJP as a Hindu party is always opposed by almost every one of them.  Congress, on the other hand, is a darling for all these people, and the party also provided these people be kept in good humour by all kinds of inducements, benefits, titles and outright payments in the form of liberal advertisements etc. This has converted most of the opinion makers into Courtiers of Congress. However, Modi after being on the receiving end of these opinion makers over a decade has now managed to communicate with people directly. Intelligent use of social media also helps him very much. Hard work in Gujarat State and his achievement and its results were adequately communicated to the voters across the length and breadth of the nation.  Most of the voters now see him as a capable, honest, hard-working administrator who has delivered in one state and capable of providing development and good governance at national level. By sticking to the message of development and good governance as the lead narrative with a little humour, direct and indirect attacks on the failed Congress rule, he could mobilise millions of votes for BJP. Now Media has to telecast him directly all the time because that is what gives them TRPs. He is the only topic of discussion everywhere. Almost everyone in the nation knows him like they know Indira Gandhi.

The effect of the first time and young voters are not factored in by Congress. They are completely ignored by Congress or they are just expected to fall in love with Rahul Gandhi. However, the problem with Rahul is his utter lack of capabilities, achievements, involvement. Further in today’s aspiration based world, he cannot full fill the expectations of these young voters. In fact, his advisors, most of whom have not exposure to and understanding of the real world, made him to speak about entitlement reservations, secularism, welfare, freebies. This failed to garner the support of the young voters. He is also could not explain the failure to create jobs for ten years, massive corruption, mis-governance of her mother’s rule. Congress simply expected the nation to fall on their keens and worship their Sahebzada. But this is not 1900s and nation has moved on from such ideas. Congress failed to move on with the nation.

The golden rule the opposition parties including BJP fallowed till now is not attacking the dynasty directly and personally. However, that rule is now irrevocably broken by Modi and his open ridiculing of Rahul resulting removing the halo around the heads of dynasty. Now even a D class Jihadi leader like Azam Khan can make a statement that Allah killed Rajiv and Sanjay Gandhi for their sins. Now Dynasty is fair game for all the political parties, and it is unaccustomed to face such attacks and is unable counter any of them. Many of the Congress leaders are confident they will not win this election. People like Chidambaram simply ran away from elections due to fear. The public posturing of their media representatives continues to amuse people.

One more this that is going to contribute the BJP win will develop its strategy of focusing on the selective seats where it can win. BJP is now focusing in 278 seats which it has won earlier and another 75 seats wherein it stood second place earlier. Since last few months, serious efforts are being made to win all these seats. Huge number of party workers is doing continuous work towards this. Technology-based micro management and the focusing of each polling booth under the plan - ‘Booth jito, chunav jito (win the booth and win elections) will play rich dividend.

On the other hand, Congress is still fighting an election with outdated methods and ideas. Its sloe idea now is Secularism can mobilize Muslim votes to some extent, but it will not mobilize vast Hindu votes. Further, it now has very negative connotations in Hindu mind. Hindus feel that they are being treated as second-class citizens by Congress which now headed by an Italian born Roman Catholic whose daughter also married a Christian.  Such civilisation disconnect with the Hindus is never helpful, and Congress never tried to dispel the ill felling many Hindus has towards it.  

Even up to the 2^nd half of 2013, Congress is faced with a disorganized weak and uninspiring BJP. However, it all changed with the arrival of Modi in the national stage, and Congress leaders surrounded to its courtiers’ failed to react. In fact, its simply do not have resources to fight a charismatic leader like Modi. Now it is staring at what could be its biggest defeat even and may not even reach a three-figure mark.

My calculation not based on any firsthand knowledge ( Except in UP wherein I have spoken with few prominent peoples families) and media reports and opinion polls is as below. Just back of the envelop kind of stuff and

This is without allies.

State name	Bare Minimum/Least	Maximum
UP	40	53
Bihar	20	25
Delhi	6	7
MP	15	22
Chattisgarh	8	10
Undivided AP	2	5
Rajasthan	20	25
Gujarath	20	26
Maharastra	20	25
Karnataka	10	15
Orissa	0	5
WB	0	2
Assam	0	6
Uttaranchal Plus Himachal	5	8
TN plus Kerala	0	2
North East	0	1
Haryana, Punjab and J& K	9	11
Total	153	248

BJP allies will add to 40 to 50 seats totally at the national level.

The least figure is too conservative and will be there if all things failed to click and BJP and Modi utterly fail to achieve even 25% of what they set out to achieve and this is too pessimistic projection unlikely to happen.    

However, as of now, Congress has already thrown the towel, and most of the voters believe that BJP will win the elections and Modi will form the government. Winnability feeling at national level always makes marginal seats winnable individually also because people like to vote for the winners. The discipline of RSS will ensure that the over confidence shown in 2004 is not there in 2014. So the final results will be very near to the maximum figure of 246 or just below that. Allies will add around 50, and flowers like TRS, DMK, AIDMK, Jagan, BJD and others will jump into supporting NDA – may be using colourful forages like issue-based support and all that.